Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2106.744096 2289.815496 2475.736310 2678.393140 2892.775801 3112.523513 3354.502617
2025-02-16 1784.395076 2053.516156 2337.754732 2659.176284 3011.381338 3384.446201 3808.329457
2025-02-23 1609.243917 1931.790917 2282.327173 2689.207037 3146.085966 3640.929286 4215.023057
2025-03-02 1456.158385 1813.752962 2212.098824 2684.832198 3226.580187 3824.163218 4529.223586
2025-03-09 1358.525861 1747.419842 2189.961353 2725.108628 3348.910563 4047.446353 4882.997041
2025-03-16 1240.434346 1646.941054 2119.265147 2700.865168 3389.873875 4172.420551 5120.467623
2025-03-23 1182.915811 1613.629219 2122.976347 2759.713158 3524.169336 4402.481748 5477.564990
2025-03-30 1110.005616 1555.969381 2092.719215 2773.792983 3602.196638 4564.661533 5754.449625
2025-04-06 1039.219755 1496.168595 2055.645547 2775.809919 3662.681219 4703.975861 6003.170337
2025-04-13 936.929149 1390.094259 1955.666327 2695.288198 3618.526544 4714.931718 6096.532206
2025-04-20 917.050834 1389.762384 1987.689555 2778.233967 3774.230796 4966.234300 6478.404938
2025-04-27 882.683184 1367.926759 1990.386838 2822.777576 3881.561764 5158.787159 6790.162882
2025-05-04 828.626270 1317.636445 1955.082834 2818.553582 3928.707152 5279.773490 7018.556580
2025-05-11 771.616634 1260.357626 1908.128983 2797.218205 3952.804201 5371.714333 7211.669758
2025-05-18 739.007137 1235.281560 1902.439586 2828.388291 4042.898400 5545.230080 7505.590568
2025-05-25 695.817613 1192.722670 1871.070512 2823.850564 4085.720848 5658.880382 7725.206263
2025-06-01 671.948995 1176.803007 1875.035868 2865.620570 4188.195155 5847.739112 8039.375586
2025-06-08 627.142851 1127.585325 1830.764571 2840.478838 4201.669082 5922.851325 8210.501387
2025-06-15 613.400199 1124.155399 1850.081593 2901.503402 4328.677515 6143.129160 8565.643309
2025-06-22 585.887164 1098.247599 1836.302342 2916.102052 4393.479863 6283.550362 8820.107792
2025-06-29 556.279870 1067.541313 1814.313460 2918.193250 4440.773114 6401.052589 9045.581436
2025-07-06 503.757964 997.832542 1733.019262 2834.694910 4370.427491 6364.034338 9071.763937
2025-07-13 501.857871 1009.406324 1771.407905 2920.706529 4530.879789 6629.259559 9488.334607